Spain
- Population 2026
- 49.3 million
- Migrant share 2026
- 25.4 %
- Earliest tipping point
- 2057
Status quo
In Spain, the migrant population accounts for 24.5% of the population in 2025 and exceeds 50% in 2057 if current demographic trends continue. As no single comprehensive official migration-background statistic is available, the model combines official data for foreign-born people and Spanish-born people with at least one foreign-born parent. Explore the remigration scenario.
Remigration
Under the defined remigration scenario, Spain's migrant share falls below 5% in 2081. In the dashboard, this threshold serves as the Institute's orientation point for demographic normalisation and harmonisation.