Germany
- Population 2026
- 83.9 million
- Migrant share 2026
- 32.0 %
- Earliest tipping point
- 2045
Status quo
In Germany, the migrant population accounts for 31.0% of the population in 2025 and exceeds 50% in 2045 if current demographic trends continue. The calculation follows Germany's official Microcensus definition, covering people born without German citizenship or with at least one parent born without German citizenship. Explore the remigration scenario.
Remigration
Under the defined remigration scenario, Germany's migrant share falls below 5% in 2111. In the dashboard, this threshold serves as the Institute's orientation point for demographic normalisation and harmonisation.