Italy
- Population 2026
- 58.8 million
- Migrant share 2026
- 17.7 %
- Earliest tipping point
- 2069
Status quo
In Italy, the migrant population accounts for 16.5% of the population in 2024 and exceeds 50% in 2069 if current demographic trends continue. As no single comprehensive official migration-background statistic is available, the model combines official data for foreign-born people and Italy-born people with at least one foreign-born parent. Explore the remigration scenario.
Remigration
Under the defined remigration scenario, Italy's migrant share falls below 5% in 2110. In the dashboard, this threshold serves as the Institute's orientation point for demographic normalisation and harmonisation.