Portugal
- Population 2026
- 10.7 million
- Migrant share 2026
- 17.9 %
- Earliest tipping point
- 2064
Status quo
In Portugal, the migrant population accounts for 16.0% of the population in 2024 and exceeds 50% in 2064 if current demographic trends continue. The model covers only people born outside Portugal because no comparable second-generation breakdown is available; Portugal-born descendants are therefore not included in the migrant population. Explore the remigration scenario.
Remigration
Under the defined remigration scenario, Portugal's migrant share falls below 5% in 2132. In the dashboard, this threshold serves as the Institute's orientation point for demographic normalisation and harmonisation.